Hazard Ratio | Real Statistics Using Excel

hazard ratio calculator excel

hazard ratio calculator excel - win

PSA (For DS3): avoid high SP hazard 3 missions at all costs

TLDR: use this excel spreadsheet to calculate your strategy for a stage.
TLDR2: do hazard level 3, but only go for 2000-3000 SP hazard 3 missions, except for the last one. See below for how it is applied to lightspeed IV.
As u/conradbilly mentioned in his guide , you should almost always do hazard 3 missions for their higher coin payout. This is because the best way to avoid running into a paywall is to maximize your syndicate coin earnings.
That advice is good. But nowhere close to optimal.
This is because even for the same stage and the same chapter, not all hazard 3 missions are created equal for Drive Syndicate 3.
For example, Lightspeed Chase IV, has the following different possible payout configurations for hazard level 3 missions:
Now consider that Lightspeed IV is completed at 25k SP, and the ratio becomes significant.
In other words, there is a 4k coin difference in the syndicate coins you earn from the stage, amounting to 2-3 car bps! You might not think it is a lot, but it could mean the difference between progressing and not progressing in the drive syndicate.
In order to refresh the mission list, you have two methods: - (Recommended after Lightspeed): logout on your asphalt app, switch racer accounts, and then switch back. (For example, I switched between my iOS game center account and my facebook account) - (more convenient, recommended for Lightspeed): pick a hazard level 1 mission, and then fail it (this is as easy as starting the mission, then tapping “quit race”)
Now, we can do even better than 13333 for Lightspeed IV when it comes to syndicate coins. This is because of the following fact: missions that complete the stage keep their syndicate coin payouts. In other words, if you are at 24999/25000 from completing the stage, the hazard 3 mission that normally carries the 5250 SP and 2000 coin payout will instead carry 1SP but keep its 2000 coin payout.
This means the optimal strategy for Lightspeed IV is as follows: - 11 of the 2250 SP missions (gets you to 24750) - followed by 1 of the 5250 SP hazard 3 mission, which is now marked down to 250 SP.
This strategy gives you 15200 syndicate coins for Lightspeed IV, significantly more than the ~11000 you would get on average without this strategy.
In other words, while you can’t control your luck with the blueprint packs, you can control how many of them you can afford to open. To guarantee progression in Drive syndicate, this strategy should definitely be used and abused.
submitted by dragom7 to Asphalt9 [link] [comments]

Optimal Syndicate Coin Payout Strategy Calculator

Hey folks,
So following up on my previous post, I've created an excel spreadsheet that can help you determine the optimal strategy to maximize syndicate coins for a given stage. As long as you have the SC/SP values for the races for a stage, you can plug it in and run the solver, and the spreadsheet will spit out the optimal solution.
You can access the calculator here. It includes precomputed the strategies for the missions up to Twilight Getaway 2.
To recap: - Why optimize payouts? It's obvious: in order to progress in DS, you need cars and Bugatti upgrades. To get those, you need Syndicate Coins. And There's only one free2play way to get syndicate coins, and that is through syndicate missions. - 2. How much does following this strategy help? I can say that you would be making 2-4k more Syndicate Coins per stage, equivalent to at least one required blueprint. - 3. Wait, but I thought doing hazard level 3 is optimal It is not. For example, in particular some hazard level 3 missions are better than others in the payout ratio. - 4. How do I get the missions I want? If Greedloft gives you a bad mission, you can reroll by switching to another account and then switching back.
submitted by dragom7 to Asphalt9 [link] [comments]

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Lupine Publishers | Kinetic Isotherm Studies of Azo Dyes by Metallic Oxide Nanoparticles Adsorbent

Lupine Publishers | Kinetic Isotherm Studies of Azo Dyes by Metallic Oxide Nanoparticles Adsorbent

Lupine Publishers | An archive of organic and inorganic chemical sciences
Abstract
We reported the synthesis of Cu4O3 nanoparticles fabricated by Camellia Sinensis (green tea) leaves extract as reducing and stabilizing agent and studied the azo dyes removal efficiency. The formation of copper oxide nanoparticles was confirmed after change in solution of salt and plant extract from green to pale yellow. Subsequently, the above said nanoparticles were characterized by SEM, XRD, FTIR, and UV spectrophotometer for size and morphology. The average particle size of copper oxide nanoparticle was found to be 17.26nm by XRD shrerrer equation, average grain diameter by SEM was calculated 8.5×10-2mm with spherical and oval shaped. UV spectroscopy range was between 200-400nm. These copper oxide nanoparticles were applied as azo dyes (Congo red and malachite green) degradation. Effect of reaction parameters were studied for optimum conditions. Kinetic models like Langmuir, Freundlich and elovich models were applied. Finally, concluded that these particles are effective degradation potential of azo dyes at about 70-75% from aqueous solution.
Keywords: Green Tea; Cu4O3; Green synthesis; XRD; Congored; Malachite Green
Background
With elevating improvement in technology, the Scientific developments are approaching to new horizons [1]. Besides supplementary needs, the stipulation of industrial wastewater has increased swiftly, supervened in the huge amount of wastewater including azo dyes. Azo dyes are the foremost group of commercial pollutants [2]. Azo dyes are class of synthetic dyes with a complex aromatic structure and contain two adjacent nitrogen bond (N=N), that can accompany color to materials [3]. Furthermore, the aromatic structures of dyes form them sturdy and not- biodegrade [4]. Textile consume prodigious quantities of hazardous chemicals particularly in dyeing operations. This work is constructed on malachite green and congored azo dyes. The toxic Habit of the azo dyes can be elaborated by fact that upon decomposition it breaks up into hazardous products [5]. The MG and CR azo dyes toxic dye which has been removed from water samples through the physical, chemical and biological methods. Azo dyes are toxic, probably cause aesthetic problems and mutagenic and carcinogenic effects on human health, so must be degraded [6]. Therefore, the adsorption method by using copper oxide metal nanoparticles for wastewater treatment comprised with azo dyes. Cu4O3 nanoparticle were applied as an adsorbent for the degradation of MG and CR dyes and its kinetic and isotherm studies. Biogenic technology is regarded an emerging advancement of the current time which has been utilized to synthesize nanoparticles of a desired shape and size by using plant extract [7]. Consequently, the synthesized nanoparticles using innovative techniques which is used as cost-friendly reagent and less reactive. The work symbolizes application of conventional physical and also chemical methods for decolorization of azo dyes. physical method includes osmosis, filtration, adsorption and flocculation. the chemical method (oxidation, electrolysis) and biological method (microorganism, enzymes) are also applicable [8]. Green technology deals with the manipulation of matter at size typically b/w 1-100nm range. Nanoparticles having high surface to volume ratio responsible for enhanced properties [9]. Specific area is appropriate for adsorption property and other relevant properties such as dye removal [10].
Azo dye normally has aromatic structure and N=N bond that’s why they are hardly biodegradable [11,12]. These dyes have also mutagenic and carcinogenic effect. Normally, conventional methods have considerably less potential of degradation. Copper oxide nanoparticles have efficient power of dyes removal [12-17]. Most probably, copper oxide are low cost and novel adsorbent of azodyes. Copper oxide nanoparticle has efficiency of azo dyes removal from wastewater [12]. Malachite green dye (C23H25N2 with molar mass364.911g/mol) is organic in nature. Its lethal dose is 80mg/kg the structure of malachite green dye is in Figure 1 below. Congo red an azo dye is sodium salt of 3,3′-bis structure. Congo red dye is water soluble, its solubility is enhanced in organic solvents. Its molecular formula is C32H22N6Na2O6S2 with molar mass of 696.665 g/mol [13- 14]. The structure is given below Figure 2. The Camellia synesis is evergreen small tree. The Camellia synesis leaves act as capping and reducing agent during the synthesis of metal nanoparticle. There are certain properties of green tea extract such as antitumor, antioxidant, anticoagulant, antiviral, blood pressure and lowering activity [18-22] (Figure 3). Plant extract has some chemicals like phenols, acid, vitamins, responsible for reduction of metal [23]. Camellia synesis leaves have polyphenols, catechins (ECG), OH groups which cause copper metal reduction (Table 1). Copper oxide Cu4O3 is known as paramelaconite material in tetragonal shape. Plants contain a wide range of secondary metabolites included phenolics help a vital role in the reduction of copper metal ions yielding nanoparticles [24]. Thus, ideally be used for the biosynthesis of nanoparticles. Copper oxide Cu4O3 is known as paramelaconite material in tetragonal shape. Copper nanoparticles synthesis by using green tea has Nano range particle size confirmed by characterization [25-28]. This is One-step processes in which no surfactants and other capping agents used.

Aims of Study

The main aim of the study was
To extract copper nanoparticles using camellia sinensis leaves
a) To characterize the copper NPs
b) To study its potential to degrade azodyes
c) To find out the effect of different experimental parameters on %degradation.
d) Kinetic study of adsorption of congored and malachite green dye

Method

Material and Method

The material used for the preparation of copper nanoparticles Cu4O3 includes copper sulfate (CuSO4.5H2O from Sigma Aldrich) and camellia sinensis leaves (from botanical garden of institute) for the preparation of green tea extract. All chemicals used were of analytical grade and pure (Figure 4).

Preparation of Green Tea Extract

Green tea leaves of 30g were taken and then washed with distilled water. further, the leaves were dried and then ground. The powder of green tea was used in the formation of extract [29]. The 100ml of deionized water was used. Later, the solution was boiled for 10 minutes and subsequently kept at low temperature after filtration.

Preparation of Cu4O3 Nanoparticles

A copper sulfate soln. of 50ml was added into 5ml of green tea extract. Magnetic stirrer was used for stirring. The color changed from green to pale yellow and finally dark brown confirmed the formation of nanoparticles. After the formation of nanoparticles, solution was centrifuged at the speed of 1000rpm for 20 mins. After the removal of supernatant copper oxide nanoparticles were dried and washed with ethanol. At the end calcination was performed at 500 degree for one hour and resultantly black colored particles were collected for characterization [27-29].

Results

Characterization of Cu4O3 Nanoparticles

UV spectrophotometer, X-ray diffractometer (XRD), Fourier transform infrared spectrophotometer (FTIR) and Scanning electron microscope (SEM) were used in order to characterize the size, shape, chemical and structural composition of Cu4O3 nanoparticles [30]. During the study, the green color soln. transformed into dark brown which confirm the formation of copper oxide nanoparticles.

X-Ray Diffraction Studies

The X-ray diffraction pattern of copper oxide nanoparticles were examined by x-ray diffractometer. To determine the intensity of copper oxide nanoparticles, the powder was added in the XRD cubes for analysis. The resultant pattern of the copper oxide nanoparticles was matched with JCPDS card number (033-0480), the peaks at 2θ intensity 28.09, 30.61, 36.14 and 44.14 and have 112, 103, 202 and 213 patterns respectively. However, average crystal size calculated by the Scherrer equation keeping lemda at 0.154 and FWHM value calculated 0.5 found was 17.2nm. The shapes of the particles of Cu4O3 nanoparticles in XRD was tetragonal [31-33].

Name and Formula

Reference code: 00-033-0480
Mineral name: Paramelaconite
Compound name: Copper OxideEmpirical formula: Cu4O3
Chemical formula: Cu4O3

Ultraviolet Spectroscopy:

The range at which copper oxide nanoparticles appeared was 200-400nm. The maximum absorption peak was confirmed at 280nm which confirmed the copper oxide nanoparticles (Figure 6).

FTIR Analysis:

In the current study, FTIR spectrum was examined to determine the copper nanoparticles functional group peaks. The overall peak was observed in ranged from 400 to 4000cm-1. The spectrum at peak 3310.7cm and 1611.2cm revealing the (Figure 7) presence of alcoholic group. The bands at 3310.7cm- 1, and 2850cm-1 another functional group present are listed in table below (Table 2).

SEM Analysis:

The average particle size of copper nanoparticle was analyzed by SEM model (JSM-6480). The range of grain of copper oxide nanoparticle was calculated about 8.5 ×10-2mm by SEM micrograph. The prepared copper oxide nanoparticles were well dispersed. It was observed that particles were smooth with a tetragonal shape (Figure 8).

Removal of Malachite Green and Congo Red Azo Dye by Cu4o3 Nanoparticles

Preparation of Standard Solution: In 1-liter distilled water, the dye was dissolved to prepare 1000ppm solution of malachite green and Congo red. From stock solution different concentrations of dyes were prepared. After dilution from 1000ppm solution to 100ppm solution was prepared. From that 150, 200, 250-ppm solution were prepared. Efficiency of Color removal was calculated by percentage degradation formula
% decolorization of dye= A-B /A×100.
Where A and B are absorbance of dye solution without nanoparticles and with particles respectively.
Mechanism of Azodye Degradation
50 microliter of the hydrogen peroxide H2O2 was added as the oxidizing agent to yield hydroxyl radical. Catalytic activity process mainly depends on the formation of superoxide anion radical and hydroxyl radical. The concentration of CR and MG dyes in aqueous solutions were measured by UV–vis spectrophotometer. A reducing agent H2O2 was added with adsorbent to check the adsorption capacity.

Effect of Experimental Parameters On % Degradation of Dye Removal

Time effect: Effect of time on percentage degradation of azo dyes was also studied by UV spectrophotometer. The samples of copper oxide NPs synthesized by green tea C-1, C-2(GT) were calculated. The time required for removal of above said dye was between (40-45min) and percentage removal was observed for all samples between 70-75%. The result of graphs clearly shows the time effect on color degradation of azo dye malachite green-MG and acid red 28-CR by using adsorbent copper oxides nanoparticles. The experimental conditions during experiment were kept constant just like temperature 308 kelvin and initial concentration of adsorbent was within ranges from 20- 250mg/l. Samples C-1, C-2 are samples codes synthesized by camellia sinensis leaves extract at different temperatures. In figure below C-1 sample is dye+ adsorbent +H202 and C-2 sample without reducing agent. It was concluded from graphs %degradation enhanced in presence of reducing agents. Figure 9 Effect of time by copper oxide nanoparticles samples C-1, C-2(Green tea mediated) on malachite green dye and Congo red dye calculated by ultraviolet spectrophotometer DB-20.
Adsorption Kinetics Studies: The kinetics of azo dye adsorption was carried under selecting optimum operating conditions. The kinetic parameters are helpful for the estimation of adsorption rate. A solution prepared by dissolving 20mg of adsorbent in 50ml of 10ppm dyes and continuously stirred.
Adsorption Kinetic Studies of Copper Oxide NPs: The pseudo-second-order model was found to explain the adsorption kinetics most effectively. The results indicated a significant potential of nanoparticles as an adsorbent for azo dye removal. The straight line shows that nanoparticles follow pseudo-second-order kinetics rather than first orde

Adsorption Reaction Isotherm Models

Langmuir Isotherm Model: The Langmuir isotherm is applicable for adsorption of a solute as monolayer adsorption on a surface having few numbers of identical sites. Langmuir isotherm model provide energies of adsorption onto the plain. That’s why, the Langmuir isotherm model is selected for adsorption capacity relating to monolayer surface of adsorbent. Adsorption process fits the Langmuir and pseudo-second-order models. Langmuir isotherm or single crystal surfaces describes well adsorption at low medium coverage, adsorption into multilayer is ruled out. Parameters of different models studied in this research are listed below in Table 3.
Freundlich Isotherm Model: The Freundlich isotherm model is suitable for the adsorption of dye on the adsorbent. Freundlich equation is stated below
In qe = Kf qm+ 1/n InCe
qe is the amount used of azo dye in unit of mg/g, Ce is the equilibrium concentration of the azo dye and Kf and n are constants factors affecting the capacity of adsorption and adsorption speed. The graph between lnqe versus ln Ce shows linearity. The adsorption reaction isotherms are fitted to models by linear square method. The result shows in this study that Langmuir model fit better than the Freundlich model. The adsorption activity of copper oxide nanoparticle samples prepared by green source were observed against the degradation of malachite green and congored azodyes (Figure15).

Discussion

In present we reported an eco-friendly and cost-efficient preparation of copper oxide nanoparticles by leaf extract of camellia sinensis. the characterization of particles were performed by SEM, UV, XRD, FTIR analysis. UV spectroscopy peak was observed at 280nm and a broadband observed which confirmed nanoparticles existence. The particle size was calculated by Scherrer equation was 17.26nm. The SEM results confirmed tetragonal shape of cu403 particles with grain average diameter 8.5×10-2nm, and FTIR spectra indicated the peaks of OH, C=C, C-H functional groups, which is due to thin coating of extract on nanoparticles. The calculated surface area of nanoparticles was 65m2/g. The %degradation of azo dyes malachite green and congored range were b/w70-75% at maximum 0.2g/l and 20mg/l dosage of adsorbent and dye. The optimum time was b/w 30-40mint, PH 3-4, temperature 70-80 Co for maximum degradation. The effect of different experimental parameters was studied on percentage degradation of dyes. The azo dyes congored and malachite green dyes adsorption isotherm models were studied. The reaction kinetics followed pseudo second order for both dyes rather than first order. The Langmuir model fit better with linearity rather than Freundlich, which confirmed by graph having r2 0.98,0.99and0.95 values for models. The elovich model also linear fit. In conclusion, copper oxide nanoparticles keep excellent azo dyes degradation potential.

Conclusion

In present we reported an eco-friendly and cost-efficient preparation of copper oxide nanoparticles by leaf extract of camellia Sinensis. According to kinetic study it proved that Cu4O3 NPs keep excellent adsorption capability for MG and CR azo dyes.
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  349. Dutton's Orthopaedic: Examination, Evaluation and Intervention, 4th Edition: Mark Dutton
  350. Marketing: The Core, 5th Canadian Edition: Roger Kerin & Steven Hartley & William Rudelius
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Children and adults should avoid consuming animal products to reduce risk for chronic disease: NO

https://academic.oup.com/ajcn/advance-article/doi/10.1093/ajcn/nqaa236/5901950

Children and adults should avoid consuming animal products to reduce risk for chronic disease: NO

Frédéric Leroy, Neal D Barnard
The American Journal of Clinical Nutrition, nqaa236, https://doi.org/10.1093/ajcn/nqaa236
Published: 05 September 2020

ABSTRACT

Excessive attention to the animal versus plant binary food choice reflects society's moral views on eating right. To claim that avoidance of animal products is required to prevent chronic disease is not supported by evidence, makes little sense from an evolutionary perspective, and distracts policy makers from common-sense approaches to achieve adequate nutrition. Animal products provide highly bioavailable nutrients, some of which are not easily obtained from plants, and can play a key role in meeting the nutritional challenges of populations in both high- and low-income countries. This role goes beyond the need for protein and relates to vitamins, minerals, and numerous often-overlooked nutrients, such as long-chain fatty acids, taurine, and choline. Restrictive dietary prescriptions that exclude animal products complicate the quest for optimal nutrition by undermining dietary diversity and flexibility, and by introducing a dependency on fortification and supplementation. Thus, a vegan diet may put the general population at increased risk of poor nutrition, a problem of particular concern for those with special nutritional requirements.
adequate essential nutrition, protein, micronutrients, nutritional needs, animal products

Main Argument (Leroy)

An evolutionary perspective argues against the need to eliminate animal-source foods

As with all animals, human nutritional requirements have been influenced by dietary composition throughout the evolution of our species (1). Reliance on substantial amounts of animal foods from both terrestrial and aquatic origin (marrow, organs, fat, meat, eggs, fish, and/or seafood) is characteristic of the human diet throughout the Pleistocene and more recent hunter-gatherers, which can—to some degree—serve as models for ancestral behavior (2). Depending on which resources are available within each habitat, the share of animal products in such diets (as a proportion of total energy) usually exceeds what is now consumed in the West, with only occasional incidences of chronic “diseases of modernity” (3). These evolutionary relationships have influenced our reproductive, digestive, and metabolic functions, fulfilling the nutritional requirements for the development of a large brain (1, 2). The consumption of (fermented) milk exerted an additional evolutionary influence since the Neolithic in populations with access to livestock. The relatively short time frame during which lactase persistence developed indicates that dairy provided strong nutritional benefits for crop-based and malnourished populations in need of protein and micronutrients. The fact that animal products have provided indispensable nutrition for at least 1.5 million years (1) is hard to reconcile with arguments for their exclusion from current diets (2, 4).

The intake of animal foods cannot be causally linked to the incidence of chronic diseases

Available epidemiological studies predominantly point toward neutral or protective associations for such animal foods as dairy, fish, and poultry (5–8). In contrast, various (but not all) observational studies have shown weak relative-risk estimates for high red- or processed-meat intake (i.e., amounts far exceeding 1 serving/d). However, the latter diminish with studies having a lower risk of bias (9) or when cross-cultural assessment is performed (4). In less-Westernized settings, associations tend to disappear or even invert, indicating strong effect modification and confounding by baseline nutritional status and healthy user bias. Regarding the latter, lifestyle characteristics of low versus high consumers of red and processed meats indicate likely bias among these associations in Western countries. Vegetarians differ from nonvegetarians with respect not only to the amount of meat consumed, but also to smoking, physical activity, alcohol consumption, and processed-food intake. Overall, evidence for a causal connection between red- or processed-meat intake and chronic diseases or mortality is inconsistent and inconclusive. Indeed, there is at most “low” to “very low” certainty evidence that higher intakes of red and processed meats result in small reductions in cancer mortality and incidence (10) or cardiometabolic outcomes and all-cause mortality (11). Similarly, there is little evidence that severe restriction of animal foods beyond a well-formulated omnivorous diet would reduce the prevalence of overweight and obesity (12).
Animal and human intervention studies of causal mechanisms typically address only short-term and intermediate surrogate outcomes, whereas markers of oxidative and inflammatory stress or cardiovascular risk fail to indicate harm (4, 13). While a modest increase in LDL cholesterol may occur, animal foods decrease apoB-to-apoA1 ratio, a strong marker of small, dense LDL particles and future cardiovascular disease. In a recent rigorous systematic review involving the use of Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development, and Evaluation (GRADE) criteria, the quality of evidence linking red and processed meats to potential adverse health outcomes was found to be “low” to “very low,” and not sufficient to support recommendations to reduce their consumption (14).

Animal foods provide high-quality nutrition

Animal products are the best source of nutrient-rich food for children <2 y old (15), while also providing the general population with important nutrition. A key benefit of animal foods is their protein amount and anabolic superiority (8, 12, 16), an advantage that becomes evident with consideration of essential amino acids content and ileal digestibility. The “Digestible Indispensable Amino Acid Score” (DIAAS) for animal protein is usually ≥1, outperforming plant proteins (legumes: 0.6; cereals: 0.3–0.5) and only approximated by soy (0.8–0.9). With use of state-of-the-art DIAAS, rather than conventional protein scoring systems, nuts, seeds, tofu, and pulses cannot be considered good sources of dietary protein (17).
Animal foods also provide essential fatty acids, with distinct benefits related to the content of EPA and DHA. These long-chain omega-3 fatty acids, abundantly present in oily fish and some other animal foods, are critical for normal brain development in childhood, fertility, immunity, and general health. Their shorter-chain precursor, ɑ-linolenic acid (ALA, 18:3n−3; available in plants), is poorly converted in vivo (5–10% for EPA, 1–5% for DHA) (16, 18). Thus, to achieve the equivalent of the commonly recommended 250 mg/d of EPA or DHA may require many grams of ALA daily, well above the consumption level of most Western vegetarians and vegans (19).
As with EPA and DHA, vitamin A is more efficiently obtained by direct intake from animal foods than from plant precursors. The biological value of the latter depends on the dose and species of the carotenoid, genetic and ethnic variability, and dietary context. Vegan diets are often low in fat, which further compromises absorption. For β-carotene, absorption varies between 5% and 65% and conversion between 4:1 to 28:1 (20). Other vitamins that may become problematic with restriction of animal foods include vitamin D, riboflavin, and niacin. Adequate supply of vitamin B-12 is of particular concern, as vegans have lower serum vitamin B-12 concentrations and, consequently, higher plasma homocysteine than omnivores (4, 12, 16). Whereas animal foods are excellent sources of vitamin B-12 (the Recommended Daily Intake can be delivered by a 100-g serving of beef, tuna, trout, or sardines), vegan diets require supplementation to avoid adverse psychiatric, neurological, and hematologic effects of deficiency. Moreover, supplementation and fortification are not always adequate to achieve sufficiency (4, 16). With the possible exception of some foods foreign to Western cuisine (e.g., the sea vegetable nori), dietary sources of vitamin B-12 are limited to animal products. Furthermore, vitamin K-2 found in animal products (e.g., egg yolks and dairy) may play a protective role for bone and cardiovascular health, beyond the effects associated with plant-associated vitamin K-1 (21).
Animal products provide highly bioavailable minerals (4, 8). Multiple servings of vegetables are often needed to match a single portion of animal food, a problem that may be exacerbated by the presence of antinutrients such as oxalates and phytates (16). For some key minerals, it may be impractical to obtain optimal intakes from plant foods (1, 16). For example, calcium, iron, and zinc are readily absorbed from dairy, fish with edible bones, and red meat; bioavailability of these critical minerals is characteristically lower from plant foods (12). For selenium, availability in crops depends strongly on the mineral status of the soil, whereas animal products vary to a much lesser degree in this regard. In addition, iodine status is often problematic in vegans and somewhat less so in vegetarians, with dairy being a good source (4).
Thus, a plant-based food-supply system would be dependent on fortification and supplementation to avoid risk of widespread micronutrient deficiencies (16). Furthermore, plant-based diets would also lack health benefits derived from the matrix of whole animal foods, beyond macro- and micronutrients (8). For instance, animal foods contain commonly overlooked bioactive components that promote neurological health, cognitive functions, antioxidant defenses, and muscle physiology (2, 4). Relative or absolute deficiencies of choline, carnosine, anserine, creatine, taurine, carnitine, and glutathione may occur with avoidance of animal products (2, 4, 16, 22).

Avoidance of animal-source foods undermines dietary robustness and causes unnecessary risk

Considering the important benefits of animal products as nutrient-dense foods and the absence of evidence for harm, their elimination from the diet comes with unnecessary risks (12). By omitting entire food groups, veganism is a highly restrictive approach that may undermine dietary robustness (4). According to a recent analysis, the greatest food-security challenge in 2050 will be the provision of nutrient-dense foods rather than adequacy of calories or carbohydrates (23). Many of the most problematic nutrients are optimally provided by animal products, including high-quality protein, calcium, iron, zinc, and vitamins A, D, and B-12 (23), as well as choline and DHA (22).
From an international perspective, a lack of access to animal foods can exacerbate malnutrition in vulnerable populations (15). Animal foods supply many nutrients that may be lacking in the cereal-based diets in low-income regions of Asia, Africa, and South America. Provision of meat, eggs, fish, or dairy to children is an effective way to reduce stunting and promote cognitive development (1, 8, 15, 24). But even in high-income populations, vegan diets require careful planning and supplementation to avoid major health problems (4, 16). The required nutritional knowledge, dietary discipline, culinary skills (e.g., proper processing of dried legumes), and resource availability are not consistently present in the general population. Even among the most sophisticated consumers, vegan diets may not be suitable for many people, especially children (24) and those unable to convert plant-derived precursors in sufficient amounts into their bioactive forms (as considered above). In fact, suboptimal nutrient concentrations have been frequently encountered among vegan and vegetarian populations—for instance, with respect to long-chain omega-3 fatty acids, iodine, and vitamin B-12 (4, 16). Concerningly, >90% of vegans and 70% of vegetarians were reportedly deficient in vitamin B-12 (compared with ∼1 in 10 omnivores), with use of the most sensitive diagnostics (25). Moreover, vegetarian and vegan mothers often have low long-chain omega-3 fatty acid and vitamin B-12 status (24, 26, 27), putting the health of their offspring at risk, as underscored by clinical case reports describing severe pathologies (4). Although harmful dietary practices can also be found among omnivore parents, failure to thrive and serious malnutrition syndromes appear to be more strongly linked to vegan and vegetarian upbringing (28), with implications to health later in life (29).

Conclusions

Rather than being portrayed as a cause of a public health crisis, animal products should be recognized as being at the forefront of the battle against malnutrition and diet-related disease, including cardiometabolic diseases. These foods are nutrient dense, highly satiating, and provide a basis for diets aiming to restore metabolic health and prevent age-related diseases (8, 12, 30).
The excessive focus of dietary discourse on animal versus plant foods in the prevention of chronic disease is poorly supported by scientific evidence, especially with regard to calls for the total elimination of animal products. The argument against animal foods is largely based on observational studies that lack the causal data required to inform policy interventions. On the contrary, animal products offer quality nutrition, components of which cannot be easily substituted by plants. Food policies that aim to minimize animal-food consumption will expose populations to unnecessary risk, especially in the face of projected global nutritional challenges. Such narrow approaches to human diets may cause harm and distract from greater dietary priorities that find common ground at both sides of the animal versus plant foods debate, such as the importance of avoiding excessive intakes of nutrient-poor, highly processed foods in globalizing foodscapes.

Refutation (Barnard)

Dr. Leroy has recounted several common myths that merit correction. The romantic notion that hunter-gatherers have been free of “diseases of modernity” was contradicted by the extensive atherosclerosis found in autopsies of Masai individuals (31) and in ancient Inuit remains (32). Meat ingestion clearly contributes to atherosclerosis.
The effect of diet on brain size is mere conjecture. Whales, elephants, and dolphins have larger brains than humans, as did Neanderthals; shrews have a greater brain-to-body-size ratio. Meat and saturated fat consumption is associated with accelerated cognitive decline, increased risk of Alzheimer disease, and brain atrophy.
While a genetic mutation fostering lactase persistence prevents lactose-induced diarrhea, evolution provided no protection against milk's longer-term hazards, notably prostate, breast, and ovarian cancer. In 2020, the Adventist Health Study-2 reported that women with the highest (compared with the lowest) milk consumption had a 50% higher risk of incident breast cancer (33).
The benefits of vegetarian and vegan diets are not attributable to differences in smoking, physical activity, or alcohol use. These and many other confounders have been controlled for in epidemiologic studies. Randomized trials confirm that avoiding animal products reduces body weight, blood pressure, and lipids. A 2015 meta-analysis showed that vegetarian diets lowered total and LDL cholesterol by 14 mg/dL (0.36 mmol/L) and 13 mg/dL (0.34 mmol/L), respectively (34).
The risks of elevated LDL-cholesterol concentrations caused by animal product ingestion are not mitigated by particle-size differences. LDL particles are atherogenic, regardless of particle size (35). In the Women's Health Study, higher concentrations of both small and large LDL particles significantly increased the HR for incident cardiovascular disease (36).
The cited meta-analyses of observational studies that had calculated the benefits of reducing meat consumption by 3 servings/wk were described by Dr. Leroy as discounting these benefits. They actually confirm them. One (10) predicted a reduction in cancer mortality by 7%. A similar reduction in processed meat would be expected to reduce esophageal (30%), colorectal (7%), and breast (10%) cancer incidence, and overall cancer mortality (8%). The second (11) predicted a reduction in cardiovascular mortality by 10%, stroke by 6%, myocardial infarction by 7%, and type 2 diabetes by 10%, all statistically significant. The effects of avoiding meat altogether would likely be much greater.
The characterization of the evidence against meat as being of “low” or “very low” certainty was based on the highly controversial GRADE system, which is not suited to evaluating nutrition studies. It mistakenly discounts even the most rigorous prospective studies and would similarly have discounted studies demonstrating passive smoking's dangers. The benefits of avoiding animal products have been amply demonstrated in both prospective studies and controlled trials.
The idea that malnourished populations have used animal products as a hedge against malnutrition or starvation provides no guidance for individuals seeking to improve their health. Even in populations with marginal nutrition, reliance on animal products is a disastrous strategy. As meat-eating increased in China between 1990 and 2016, cardiovascular disease prevalence doubled.
Protein requirements in children and adults are easily met by a diet of legumes, vegetables, grains, and fruits. According to the WHO, "Protein deficiency is almost always accompanied by inadequate energy intake...," meaning the problem is a lack of food, not a lack of meat (37).
Regarding fatty acids, the European Prospective Investigations into Cancer and Nutrition (EPIC)–Norfolk Study found that, while long-chain fatty acid intake was lower in vegans than in fish-eaters, plasma concentrations of long-chain fatty acids were remarkably similar, suggesting better conversion from precursor fatty acids in the vegan group.
Ingesting preformed vitamin A has no advantage; it has potential toxicity not seen with β-carotene and other carotenoids.
While meat and dairy products contain vitamin B-12, absorption is often poor due to gastric atrophy, medications, and other causes, leading to marginal vitamin B-12 status in ∼20% of elderly individuals. Fortification or supplementation is more effective and cheaper.
Dr. Leroy cites iodine as one of milk's helpful attributes. However, cows do not synthesize iodine or any other element. Iodine in milk comes from iodine-containing disinfectants used to clean contaminated udders and milking equipment and from supplements fed to cattle (38). Better (and cheaper) nutritional strategies are the use of iodized salt, which greatly reduced iodine deficiency in the United States, or the use of sea vegetables, as is common in Asia. These strategies avoid the saturated fat, cholesterol, sugars, estrogens, and cancer risk associated with milk.
Similarly, animals do not synthesize iron or calcium. They obtain them from plants, as humans do. Green leafy vegetables are particularly good sources of both. Iron intakes among vegetarians are typically similar to or even slightly higher than those of omnivores (39). There is no value—and there are significant risks—of excessive iron intake. The same is true for taurine (which promotes intestinal production of genotoxic hydrogen sulfide) and choline (which is prothrombotic and promotes trimethylamine N-oxide production).
Animal products lack dietary fiber, vitamin C, and complex carbohydrate. Overall nutrient intake on an omnivorous diet is inferior to that on a healthful vegan diet. In a 2008 study, adopting a vegan diet increased total vitamin A activity, β-carotene, vitamins K and C, folate, magnesium, and potassium, while reducing intake of saturated fat and cholesterol (40).
Dr. Leroy's citation of inadequate nutrition related to “vegetarian and vegan upbringing” had nothing to do with the adequacy of vegan diets. Rather, it described a 1970s Israeli religious group that limited breastfeeding to 3 mo and then used an improper infant formula. The answer is not meat or bovine milk; it is breast milk or formula. As noted by the Academy of Nutrition and Dietetics, “…appropriately planned vegetarian, including vegan, diets are healthful, nutritionally adequate, and may provide health benefits … for all stages of the life cycle.”
To nourish a growing population, feeding plants to animals and then consuming their muscles, milk, or eggs is resource-intensive, adds unwanted cholesterol, saturated fat, and pathogenic microorganisms, and displaces healthful nutrients.

Rebuttal (Leroy)

Dr. Barnard's dismissal of the rareness of diseases of modernity in ancestral populations and the link between animal foods and _Homo sapiens_’ cognitive development as “myths” and “romantic notions” was less unexpected than his reference to George Mann (31). Being a critic of the diet–heart hypothesis, Mann precisely described the Masai as almost free of cardiovascular disease, despite intimal thickening and high intakes of animal fat. Likewise, the authors reporting on Inuit mummies not only mentioned that atherosclerosis could as well have been due to indoor fires, but also that they remained agnostic about clinical outcomes, especially as cardiovascular deaths were rare among mid-20th century Inuit (32).
The rebuttal relies heavily on nutritional epidemiology of chronic disease. As practiced in the West, the latter mostly expresses responses to cultural norms of “eating right” rather than identifying diet–chronic disease relations (41). Its limitations have been mentioned; adjustment for isolated lifestyle factors (e.g., smoking) remains inadequate to correct for the full spectrum of confounders and biases. Dr. Barnard's interpretation of the Nutritional Recommendations (NutriRECS) studies misses the point; the merit of GRADE, described as “controversial” but officially endorsed by >100 organizations worldwide, is to relate associations to quality of evidence. Statistical significance as such is not a sufficient basis for causal interpretation and guideline formulation if the evidence is low quality. Epistemologically, there is no reason nutritional sciences should settle for lower standards.
Controlled trials may strengthen observation-driven hypotheses but, as argued above, this has not been the case for animal foods. Isolating LDL cholesterol from a broader view of disease risk factors is poorly informative. The evidence disagrees with the claim that LDL particle-size differences do not mitigate risk (42, 43); and the importance of triglycerides and other components of the metabolic syndrome should not be disregarded. If anything, associations between LDL cholesterol and mortality are of a protective nature for most elderly individuals (44), the group in which most deaths occur and for which animal foods are largely beneficial in view of healthy aging (4).
The assertion that reliance on animal foods would be a “disastrous strategy,” even for populations with marginal nutrition that suffer from deficiencies and rampant stunting incidences in children, originates from a higher-income, urban, and Western-centric perspective (15). Even in the West, however, dietary restrictions driven by ideological choice (rather than income) often lead to malnourishment of infants, children, and adolescents [the list of clinical case reports is long, the pathologies severe (4, 24)]. The position paper on vegan diets by the Academy of Nutrition and Dietetics largely reflects the perspective of Seventh-Day Adventists (45) and has been contradicted by warnings issued by other authorities (e.g., the Belgian Royal Academy of Medicine and the Swiss Federal Commission for Nutrition).
Animals concentrate nutrients from plants, which make them very robust sources of nutrition. The various deficiencies at the population level in people not being able (or not willing) to access them attest to that (4). Neither the boosting of “complex carbohydrates” nor the restriction of animal fat and “unwanted” cholesterol will meet the nutritional challenges of mid-century. The provision of essential nutrition will.
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Terror Birds

Audio Verson
GM Binder
"I have nothing but respect for Terror Birds because the moment you don't, you're bird food." - Tannon Elven Ranger

Introduction

Terror Birds are a broader category of an ancient line of 2 legged flightless birds. Many varieties such as Diatryma, Gastornis, and Titanis are well known and feared animals in the remote areas they inhabit. These birds are often ignored or overlooked for their predecessors, the dinosaurs. I'm here to rectify that problem as Terror Birds are fascinating creatures I've found in my many years of research. Their bravery or stupidity is unmatched, yet they surprise even the most prepared of opponents. They are also wonderfully affectionate to those they trust and great friends. Just don't be on the opposing side, or you'll see where they get the name Terror Bird.

Physiology of the Terror Bird

How to Identify the Terror Birds

Most are familiar with emus, ostriches, or more modern bipedal birds. But remote pockets of the world house some of the most terrifying and ancient varieties. There are several sub-species of Terror birds that range from 3-feet tall to a massive 15 feet. Their wings are small and tucked to their sides, even more so than a chicken. Their thick muscled legs with long talons are more than enough to show the power they possess. Their necks are proportionally much thicker than their ostrich cousins, and their beaks are that of a predator.
Males are brightly colored, whereas females will have the same colors but muted. For instance, the smaller 3 foot tall, Caprims, both are red and black in coloration to hide in the shadows and look like a flower in their jungle homes. The females are just still black, but their red is only slightly muted. Males also have crest feathers that they can lift but usually keep pursed backward unless interacting with their mate.

Origins

When the majority of dinosaurs left the Material Plane, obviously aside from the remaining dinosaur islands, birds filled the niche of super predators for a short time. Birds are closely related to dinosaurs and thus quickly adapted to the same super-predators, although arguably much smaller than that of creatures like Allosaurus or Tyrannosaurus Rex. Since then, their direct competition of large cats, however, has dwindled their numbers. Leave it to a cat to keep a bird in check.

Hooked Beaks

The beaks of Terror Birds resemble something closer to raptors (bird raptors) like eagles and Rocs. The wicked spike that the end of their beak forms is excellent for pulling off large chunks of flesh while eating. Though, their bigger purpose is paired with their incredible ability to thrust their heads downward at a quick speed with accuracy and puncture prey. Using the hook as the pointy side of a pick, they can sever the spine of even large creatures such as bears in as little as 2 pecks. Very few animals can kill so efficiently and quickly, something their size or larger, even dragons.

Killer Legs

Terror birds are fast runners with stamina. Their thick legs give them incredible power and speed. They can run down prey, attackers, or about anything if needed at rates close to 40 mph. While they can't maintain this speed for more than a few hundred yards, they can run at 15 mph for much longer distances, making them excellent for long-distance travel.
On top of their astonishing speed is their agility. Their legs are positioned more towards the bottoms of their hips than the sides, and with the added rotation of ball socket joints, they can make quick leg pivots. While they can't be at top speeds to make sharp adjustments, it's faster than even antelope. Their sharp claws can dig into the earth for traction on a quick turn, giving them a slight edge on adjusting direction.
Lastly, with their backward bending legs and stiff muscles, they can jump with incredible power. While this ability diminishes with body size, even the largest Terror Birds can jump 2 1/2 times their height. They flap their small wings fervently when doing so, not enough to create lift but enough to slow their fall. This flapping slow-fall is less effective than that of a chicken but the same concept. Their jumping is also well suited to distance if needed, making jumping large streams or even small rivers a great way to corner prey.

Eyes of a Killer

Terror Birds have exceptional eyesight in both light and dark, with their heavily dilating pupils. Their eyes are also huge in general to head size about 25% larger than an eagle's eye to head size ratio. They are also forward-facing, giving them that deadly accuracy. Because their eyes can move in their head, they also possess tremendous peripheral vision.

Hunting and Feeding

Terror Birds are carnivores; well, most are. They watch their territory for prey and when hungry bolt in pursuit. Once a victim runs, they can easily catch them by grabbing them, with their beaks, if small enough, or quickly killing bigger prey. Their favorite tactic is to run beside a fleeing animal and slam their hooked beak into the skull base, downing the creature immediately. Their beaks are strong enough to crush through the skull of a human, making a quick and easy meal.
Once they have slain a creature, they will begin to strip off flesh to eat. Terror Birds are not fond of eating fur or hair, though, and will usually peel the skin away to get to the more tender areas. However, it isn't possible to always avoid fur and hair on creatures. They can process the hair but not as easily and often causes stomach discomfort. Once they've eaten their fill, they either leave the food for scavengers or drag it back to young.
With smaller prey, often, they snatch up the poor creatures instead of quickly killing them. Often they will violently and repetitively slam their target on the ground, either killing or stunning them. They are also mighty kickers and can crush bones with a single blow.

Life Cycle

Chicks are hatched only 1 egg at a time. Once they hatch, it is only a span of a few seasons before they strike out on their own. Their parents both care for the chick until full maturity. Once grown, they are about half to nearly full size, depending on the kind of Terror Bird.
Adults live around 40 years and start to show signs of significant degradation at 37. While slower and less capable at venerable ages, Terror Birds are still scrappy fighters able to fend off attackers well enough. During this time, they may produce as many as 2 dozen chicks, but sadly only 1/3rd of those chicks will live to adulthood in most cases.

Common Diseases

Terror Birds are affected by only a few diseases, but most are fatal. Those who raise terror birds often have to quarantine and even kill infected birds to keep the rest safe. Thankfully they are not widespread in any area, and if caught early enough simple medicine, and divine intervention can save the animal.

Pox

While Pox to many other creatures is a deadly and contagious disease, humans included. Terror Birds can be an early specimen, as they pick it up from eating prey infected with the virus. Pox is spread by parasites such as flies and lice that can be found on less fortunate birds. Adults start to lose feathers in patches, but chicks outright perish after only a few weeks.

Bleeding Egg

As some varieties of Terror Birds produce regular eggs as decoys, it's easy to spot an infected bird with Bleeding Egg. First, the egg's outer shell is soft and reddish in hue as the egg is filled with both yoke and a fair amount of blood. While this condition rarely harms the adults, they will no longer produce viable young, and those eggs that are fertile are stillborn. For Terror Bird ranches, this is usually immediate death to prevent the spread of the disease as blood eggs are not a viable product.

Newcastle

Named for the biologist who identified the disease, Newcastle is a relatively new discovery. Symptoms include hyperactivity, inability to focus, take a 3 legged position (using their head as a 3rd leg), staggering backward, and lack of self-preservation. This condition is so far only found in wild Terror Birds. The infection rate is rather low and seems only to be a bloodborne transfer.

Habitat Range

Terror Birds are mostly tropical in origin. They prefer forests, plains with tall grass, or even some rolling hills. They aren't well balanced in rocky or icy terrains and tend to fall prey to other carnivores from losing their footing. While most Terror Birds stay in warmer climates, a few breeds have ventured further into artic regions, although sticking to forests and fields.

Ground Nesters

These gigantic birds are unable to nest in trees like many others, or the cliffs of mountains such as giant birds like Rocs. Thus they make ground nests that usually are large enough for 2 terror birds to squat side-by-side. They are very protective of their nest and territory, continually patrolling and keeping an eye on potential dangers.
The birds hide their nests in foliage and brush and create multiple nest sites as decoys that are more obvious to find. This behavior has been altered in domesticated birds to produce eggs like that of a chicken. Significantly larger sizes of eggs are produced, between 5 and 8 inches tall.

Social Behavior and Mental Capabilities

Intelligence

To call something bird-brained is usually an insult. While Terror Birds don't have sentience, they are very calculating and clever. They can see hunter's traps for what they are and sometimes use them against hunters. They have been known to set off traps and hide nearby waiting for the hunters to retrieve the "prey."
Domesticated Terror Birds know their trainers, and even the usual people around them, much better than domesticated griffons. They are also usually trained to avoid attacking the people they work with while hungry, which is rare for such a predatory animal. They are very unforgiving, though, and if a person has wronged them, they don't hold back.
Terror Bird memory is long and will remember individuals of many creatures for a long time. While in the wild, this skill is less utilized, maybe except for hunters or rangers. Domesticated ones can be very loyal as a result and even recognize the names of friends.

Mated Pairs

Many birds mate for life, and these are no exception. Their loyalty is strong. Terror Birds seek their mate early in life, usually within their first 5 years, roaming the forests and planes, journeying to find a mate. When they see another member of their species, alone, they will make a display fanning out their small wings and side-stepping in a dance. If the other bird is looking as well, they will respond if interested by bobbing their heads up and down rapidly. If they are uninterested, the other bird can become aggressive, which can lead to a fight.
Once the birds find a mate, they will stay together for the span of their whole lives. While they may roam away from each other on patrols, they will always end the day together. Mates can identify each other visually by markings, smells, and even the sound of their shrill calls.

Territorial Carnivores

While members of different sub-species, especially with varying sizes, can tolerate each other, Terror Birds aggressively defend their territory from other predators their size, including similar Terror Birds. Fights of territory are rarely to gain or lose area rather just frequent on borders. Being intelligent enough to know when they are entering a rival's space, they know very well where they can cross. Sometimes they will purposely hunt in a rival's territory seemingly just to anger them. These antics lead to fights.

Mysterious Night Screeching

Terror Birds are generally not nocturnal, with a few exceptions, but almost all terror birds can be heard during the night. With seemingly no warning or reason, they awake from their slumber to make loud calls into the darkness. These sounds start as low throaty thrums that crescendo into ear-splitting wails. Different species have different calls, but all still display this behavior.

Interactions with Other Creatures

Domestication

First and foremost, the most common interaction is that with the Elven and Human communities that have domesticated terror birds. While Humans have domesticated the Brontornis, one of the larger varieties, Elves have attached more the Gastornis, which is, in comparison, is much smaller. Despite stocks of these birds coming from different types, they are both similar in domestication.
First, a domesticated Terror Bird is loyal but still a carnivore. They must be fed well enough, or hunger will cause them to be increasingly rebellious. Sometimes even picking off other members of a community to which they have no attachment. Second, they will only allow a few people to ride them also if they are well known and trusted.
Mating in captivity is a crucial process as keeping the correct genes, and friendly mentality is the whole reason they can continue to be used as allies. Unfortunately, it is a much more complicated process than in the wild. Unlike farm animals such as cows, Terror Birds prefer only one mate but most often mistake their care-taker as that role. This attachment is why until they find a mate in captivity, the trainers must keep a firm hand and distance until they are mature enough to be mated. These pairings of birds are often akin to an arranged marriage, and once they are bonded, they are much easier to give affection without negative attachment.
Not all Terror Birds are domesticated, but I suppose it could be possible. In my observations, all of them have that capability; even the dangerous and volatile Titanises have the capacity to hold violence in check.

Cats

Terror Birds have a natural aversion to cats. Not unlike other birds or dogs. However, these giant birds have no fear. They are nervous and often violent towards even small domesticated cats. They have a natural enemy in big cats and often come to blows for territory with tigers, lions, and saber-cats.

No Monster Too Big

While these predators usually only attack creatures, their size, or smaller, they are not afraid of any animal regardless of size. This selection doesn't mean they will attack the monster immediately but instead will ignore them unless provoked. If provoked, they unleash a fury that can take a young dragon off-guard and cause some harm. Domesticated birds will fight to the death for their riders and cause some severe issues, especially if outmatched. They had no natural predators in which they lived, maybe outside super ones like Hydras and Dragons.

Prey

Being predators, they favor killing their food but will eat raw meat from handlers, if domesticated. Live prey is a treat for them. While animals closer to their size are preferred, they will eat smaller creatures they can catch. Victims are usually quickly dealt with and eaten immediately. These birds do not play with food.

Battle Tactics

Terror Birds are no strangers to battle. Between defending their nests and taking down prey, they are fighting nearly daily. With this experience, they are not to be lightly taken when facing an aggressive bird. They are most often suited to a quick kill and 1 on 1 battle.
When facing a single opponent, the Terror bird tries to peck at the skull of their foe. With their powerful downward strikes, they can quickly finish even thick-skulled creatures with only a few blows, or 1 well placed strike. Their tactics are straight forward and aggressive. Squawking, pecking, and leaping at their foe keeps nearly anything on their heels. If an enemy is much larger than the bird, it will still come at them with full-force. When going for a kill, they can jump high and use their downward momentum to their advantage.
If facing multiple enemies, they can jump and kick at attackers from all angles. Wolves and other pack animals often mistake flanking them with a supreme advantage when they only need to swing their claws behind them for a fatal counter-attack. Terror Birds, however, are not fond of facing multiple foes and will strike faster than waiting for an attack usually.

Variations

Gastornins

Gastornis or plurally Gastornins are most popularly found in jungles and warmer forested environments. While they have been seen smashing nuts with their thick beaks, they are still dangerous predators. Standing at a comfortable 7-feet tall, they are imposing to even orcs for their strength and size. They are among some of the most hazardous bite crushing power and are used for crushing things in a utilitarian fashion.
Elves seem to use Gastornins in domestication most often because of shared environments. The domesticated Gastornins are the friendliest kinds as well. Gastornins enjoyment of both meat and nuts helps in keeping an ample food supply.
Gastornins are usually brown to black-feathered to hide in the forest homes better. They have bright blue skin around the face and neck along with a small, proportionally at least, gobbler like that of a turkey. Their eyes are large and yellow in coloration.

Brontornis

Brontornises are larger as far as Terror Birds go, as tall as 10 feet, and one of the slowest birds, only topping out at 25 mph run speed. However, they can carry two full-grown humans and is the only Terror Bird able to carry 2 riders of such sizes. Rarely are they used for beasts of a burden, though, as they are notoriously curious and often ransack luggage. They almost exclusively eat larger herbivores such as cattle and other herd animals.
For domestication, they make excellent mounts and body-guards. They are quite fond of standing in place for long periods on the lookout as they would on their plane homes watching a herd from a distance. Their beak is great at piercing armor as well, and they feed on armored animals by piercing a wound, placing their foot on the prey, and tearing the armor off. It works effectively against armored humanoids as well.
Feathers on Brontornises are usually lighter browns or greys. Their dull coloring makes it harder for the less gifted for sight herds to spot them in their stationary outlooks.

Titanis

The largest of the Terror birds reaching up to 15-feet tall are considered too dangerous to tame. Their beaks are also longer and more hooked than most varieties. They can run at speeds nearing 35 mph chasing down and tearing apart prey. They are voracious predators that attack many creatures on-site, when hungry.
Despite their size, they have vibrant and rich green colorations as they live in tall grasses around rivers. The cat-tails and swampy grass-fields are where they hunt for large fish, crocodiles, and any creature that finds itself wandering in the grass.
If they became domesticated, I would suppose it would have to be by larger peoples, such as orcs, that could stand at least half as tall to these massive carnivores. Halflings, unfortunately, would only be seen as prey, I fear.

Caprims

The smallest of the Terror Birds, Caprims are jungle dwellers that disguise themselves as flowers. They aren't afraid to attack humanoids if catching them by surprise, giving the black and red feathered birds the nicknames of Devil Flowers. They are fast runners and able to dart and dodge in the thick jungles nearly unhindered.
Domesticated Caprims make for quick messengers through thickly brushed environments. While they are certainly too small to ride, they make for a great companion that can follow directions better than a dog.

Diatryma

Diatrymas are known for their stark black feathers and Green eyes. They are not only nocturnal predators but also live in the underground tunnels beneath the surface. Some are tamed by under-dwelling peoples such as Drow, but ultimately they are free-roaming terrors of the dark. They are most likely to encounter Displacer Beasts, Hook Horrors, and other tough to kill enemies and thus live in flocks of up to 8 members.
Standing at a 6-foot tall posture when upright, they are taller than what the cramped tunnels allow. They make up for this by being the most flexible and creatively mobile Terror Birds. Their beaks are stiff but still narrow, and their skull is only slightly larger than the beak itself. Due to their improved flexibility, the Dyatryma can squeeze through areas as long as its head can fit through. They push with their clawed feet through cracks and pull by hooking their beaks on the stone.
While lighter creatures, such as elves, can ride them, they are most often used to fight. Their aggressive tactics and ability to traverse the dark better than many 4 legged animals gives them the advantage.

Kelenken

The Fastest of the Terror Birds, Kelenken, can top out at 40 mph. They chase down prey in open fields despite nesting in the forests. Found in colder and temperate regions, they prefer to keep away from larger predators like bears, which they have trouble bringing down. They are some of the rarest varieties outside of domestication. They are white-feathered with black accents around the eyes and wings. Their beaks are a stark orange, though, and tend to be the only visible aspect in a snowfall.
Kelenkens are domesticated for riding as they stand up to 9 feet tall and can bear 1 rider at nearly full speed. Most often though they are bred for racing and bets, Dwarven kingdoms are primarily known for their racing Kelenken.

Death Birds

While the name is ominous, it is rightfully earned. Another variety yet to be tamed, Death Birds are dangerous predators of humanoids. Also known as Phorusrhacos‭, they have adapted to specifically hunting humanoid creatures over time. Their markings are ominously dark grey or black with a white-tipped beak and white accents around their face. Death Bird markings when looked at from about 6 feet to 10 feet tall and facing them look as if they are a floating humanoid skull on a black body. Death Birds are visually adapted to keep their prey stunned in fear. They also give off a low rumbling that un-nerves many humanoids as a frightening tactic to keep them off-guard.
Living in warmer grass-lands and forests, they are well known to many humanoid tribes and even hunted as a ritual for some cultures. While they aren't domesticated in any, understandably why I do believe it is still possible. They would make for 1 intimidating mount for sure.

Axe Beaks

Andalgalornis or better known as Axe Beaks, are unique among Terror Birds for their beaks being hooked on both the bottom and top of their bill. Standing at just over 7 feet tall, they hunt in tropical regions. The upward swings of their heads are just as deadly as the downward strikes. This top spike can be helpful as the tropical forests hide predators in the trees and the ground. Their unique bills give them another angle in which they can attack.
They are brown with white feathers on their faces and undersides. Their tails are the most unique and can fan upwards, in a mating display, like a peacock or turkey.

DM Notes

Terror Birds are a fascinating group of extinct animals that came just after the extinction of the dinosaurs. I drew inspiration for this article based on the real-world scientific names as well as some fantasy ones I made myself. I highly suggest adding some spice to your campaign to use birds instead of horses in some cultures as horses don't do well in forests.
Here are some hooks for Terror Birds:
  • A silent ambush from the trees or tall grass (combat encounter)
  • A bird carrying an injured rider is lost and needs help
  • An injured bird tells of a larger danger in the area; the Terror Bird is a fierce fighter, so whatever laid the poor creature low must be strong.
  • A lone giant egg sits in a nest. Is it abandoned? Or are the parents around
  • The races are off! Except one of the riders is mysteriously killed, and the bird takes off to race with a dead jockey.
  • Someone is cheating to fix the races!
  • A trainer couldn't find an acceptable mate for his bird and needs your help to find it a suitable mate.

Thanks for Reading!

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hazard ratio calculator excel video

Kaplan Meier curve and hazard ratio tutorial (Kaplan Meier ... Hazard Ratios - Fares Alahdab MD - YouTube Kaplan-Meier Survival Analysis in Excel - YouTube Microsoft Excel - Forest Plots (Odds Ratios and Confidence ... How to build Interactive Excel Dashboards - YouTube Odds ratio and relative risk excel - YouTube Risk Assessment Template  Hazard Identification in Excel ... Hazard Ratios and Survival Curves - YouTube How to calculate relative risk - YouTube

MedCalc's free online Relative risk statistical calculator calculates Relative risk and Number needed to treat (NNT) with 95% Confidence Intervals from a 2x2 table. Hazard Ratio Calculator. Use this hazard ratio calculator to easily calculate the relative hazard, confidence intervals and p-values for the hazard ratio (HR) between an exposed/treatment and control group. One and two-sided confidence intervals are reported, as well as Z-scores based on the log-rank test. Instructions: This calculator computes the Relative Risk for a 2x2 crosstabulation, which measures the ratio of the risk of developing a condition (or disease) for those exposed to a risk factor, versus the the risk of exhibiting the condition for those that are not exposed to the risk factor. Please type the 2x2 table data and also indicate the confidence level required to compute the Like Joost and Edwin said, hazard ratio and relative risk are not exactly the same even though they are commonly used interchangeably. Hazard ratio is an instantaneous risk meaning the risk of failure at time t given that the subject has survived up to the beginning of the the time interval (or up to t-1) while relative risk is usually a cumulative risk during the entire follow-up time. Hazard ratio. The hazard ratio in survival analysis is the effect of an exploratory? variable on the hazard or risk of an event. Hazard ratio can be considered as an estimate of relative risk, which is the risk of an event (or of developing a disease) relative to exposure.Relative risk is a ratio of the probability of the event occurring in the exposed group versus the control (non-exposed) group. Definition of the hazard ratio. Hazard is defined as the slope of the survival curve — a measure of how rapidly subjects are dying.. The hazard ratio compares two treatments. If the hazard ratio is 2.0, then the rate of deaths in one treatment group is twice the rate in the other group. You can use this calculator to perform power and sample size calculations for a time-to-event analysis, sometimes called survival analysis. the primary parameter of interest is called the hazard ratio. The hazard is the probability of the event occurring in the next instant given that it hasn't yet occurred. Since the hazard is a function of time, the hazard ratio, say, for exposed versus unexposed, is also a function of time; it may be different at different times of follow up. For example, if the exposure is some surgery (vs. no surgery), the hazard ratio of death may take values as follows: Time since baseline Hazard ratio 1 day 9 2 days 3.5 We show how to use the Log-Rank Test (aka the Peto-Mantel-Haenszel Test) to determine whether two survival curves are statistically significantly different.. Example 1: Clinical trials of two cancer drugs were undertaken based on the data shown on the left side of Figure 1 (Trial A is the one described in Example 1 of Kaplan-Meier Overview).. As we did in Example 1 of Kaplan-Meier Overview, we As I said, a ratio is a useful method to compare two values with each other. And now, you have different methods to calculate it in your favorite application, yes, in Excel. All the methods which we have used above can help you to calculate ratio in different situations with different types of values. I hope this will help you in your work.

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Kaplan Meier curve and hazard ratio tutorial (Kaplan Meier ...

Download HERE: https://www.someka.net/excel-template/risk-assessment-template/This Risk Assessment Excel Template will help you to manage and control all the... The Kaplan Meier (Kaplan-Meier) curve is frequently used to perform time-to-event analysis in the medical literature. The Kaplan Meier curve, also known as ... Download file used in the video with step by step instructions and links to more tutorials: https://www.myonlinetraininghub.com/workbook-downloadsIn this vid... About Press Copyright Contact us Creators Advertise Developers Terms Privacy Policy & Safety How YouTube works Test new features Press Copyright Contact us Creators ... How to make forest plots using Microsoft Excel 2007.Thank you Jon Peltier for sharing your method. Countdown Column Equation:=(ROWS($A$4:$A$11)-ROW()+ROW($A$... Github link where you can download the plugin: https://github.com/lukashalim/ExcelSurvivalLearn Data Viz: https://www.udemy.com/course/tableau-specialist-cer... This is a short presentation on hazard ratio, its uses, interpretation, and a talk about some relevant concepts. A brief conceptual introduction to hazard ratios and survival curves (also known as Kaplan Meier plots). Hopefully this gives you the information you need to... Video describing how relative risk is calculated from a cohort study. RR is just a ratio of incidence of the outcome in the exposed divided by the incidence ...

hazard ratio calculator excel

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